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Friday, August 7, 2020 | History

1 edition of Self-fulfilling risk predictions found in the catalog.

Self-fulfilling risk predictions

Self-fulfilling risk predictions

an application to speculative attacks.

  • 202 Want to read
  • 31 Currently reading

Published by International Monetary Fund in Washington, D.C .
Written in English


Edition Notes

Includes bibliographical references.

SeriesIMF working paper -- WP/98/124
ContributionsInternational Monetary Fund.
The Physical Object
Pagination34 p. ;
Number of Pages34
ID Numbers
Open LibraryOL18483981M

It is the self-fulfilling prophecy which goes far toward explaining the dynamics of ethnic and racial conflict in the America of today. That this is the case, at least for relations between Negroes and whites, may be gathered from the fifteen hundred pages which make up Gunnar Myrdal's An American Dilemma. That the self-fulfilling prophecy may. Mastilak, Christian and Matuszewski, Linda J. and Miller, Fabienne and Woods, Alex, Self-Fulfilling Prophecy? An Examination of Exposure to Economic Theory and Opportunistic Behavior (Aug ). AAA Management Accounting Section (MAS) Meeting Paper.

  The client can attempt to avoid a going-concern opinion and its potential self-fulfilling prophecy effect by switching auditors. Several subjects played pure strategies consistent with loss avoidance, adversarial play, and risk by: Self-fulfilling prophecies can play a big role in personal and professional success and understanding the philosophy behind them is an important management tool.

Self-fulfilling prophecy, process through which an originally false expectation leads to its own a self-fulfilling prophecy an individual’s expectations about another person or entity eventually result in the other person or entity acting in ways that confirm the expectations.. A classic example of a self-fulfilling prophecy is the bank failures during the Great Depression.   Self-fulfilling prophesies are when it is so socially expected that an individual from a particular group (such as a race, ethnicity, or social class) will deviate in his or her behavior from the norm, attributing that label to the individual becomes an important, internalized component of the labeled individual's sense of self.


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Self-fulfilling risk predictions Download PDF EPUB FB2

Get this from a library. Self-fulfilling risk predictions: an application to speculative attacks. [Robert P Flood; Nancy Peregrim Marion; International Monetary Fund.

Research Department.] -- Currency crises in Europe and Mexico, as well as those unfolding in Asia, have renewed efforts to understand and control the forces underlying speculative attacks on fixed exchange rates.

Were self-fulfilling risk predictions partly responsible for the –95 Mexican crisis. Many aspects of the model just recounted match up with data reasonably well.

Certainly there was a large shift in speculative opinion about the riskiness of Mexican investments. That shift coincided with an attack on the fixed-rate by: This book traces the evolution of the IMF’s actions to promote international financial stability from the Bretton Woods era through the most recent crisis.

Self-fulfilling risk predictions. Risk Management Markets News Company News A self-fulfilling prophecy is an event that is caused only by the preceding prediction or expectation that it was going to occur.

This short-term. Most of the real-world prophecies that come true are also self-fulfilling — simply stating that something will happen often ensures that it will happen someday, whether by accident or because someone read your prophecy and decided they'd make it happen.

An example sometimes given is that a prediction that a bank may become insolvent (or, excuse the pun, "bankrupt") may. A self-fulfilling prophecy is a belief that comes true because we are acting as if it is already true. Learn how to harness the power of self-fulfilling prophecies in your own life.

Open mobile menu. The Self-Fulfilling Prophecy of Adolescent Social Expectations Article (PDF Available) in International Journal of Behavioral Development 40(6). A self-fulfilling prophecy is a belief that comes true because we are acting as if it is already true. New Agers call this The Law of Attraction (see, for example, Rhonda Byrne’s self-help.

While common sense tells us that a turnaround won't occur overnight, predictions of a year or greater are not predictions based on quantitative analysis, but only opinions. When person after person reads and then espouses these opinions, they have a good chance of becoming self-fulfilling prophecies.

Downloadable. The paper shows that changing market beliefs about currency risk can generate a self-fulfilling speculative attack on a fixed exchange rate. The attack does not require a later change in policies to make it profitable.

This is illustrated by introducing an endogenous risk premium into a “first-generation model” of a speculative attack. The paper shows that changing market beliefs about currency risk can generate a self-fulfilling speculative attack on a fixed exchange rate.

The attack does not require a later change in policies to make it profitable. This is illustrated by introducing an endogenous risk premium into a first-generation model of a speculative attack. The model is further Author: Robert P Flood, Nancy P.

Marion. The self-fulfilling prophecy should be of great interest to teachers, both those in training and those in service. Whether or not a teacher is aware of it, the self-fulfilling prophecy is at work, impacting students What we expect, all too often, is exactly what we get/5.

The self-fulfilling prophecy should be of great interest to teachers, both those in training and those in service. Whether or not a teacher is aware of it, the self-fulfilling prophecy is at work, impacting students either to their benefit or their detriment.

It follows that teachers should be made aware of the SFP and how it can be used Cited by:   Simpsons predictions Did Nostradamus make predictions about the year in the 16th century.

Predictions of Nostradamus for the future include the risk of global wars, and the possible end of the world, etc. So did he mention anything about the year ?. What he opined about the year ?The predictions made in the poetry follow a general.

In the example of school children taken from the book Pygmalion in the classroom a. the less intelligent children perform better than expected. the more intelligent children perform better than expected. The children and teachers predicted would do better, did so.

Self-Fulfilling Prophecy in Sociology: A Look at the Theory of Robert Merton Not only is the concept of self-fulfilling prophecy an important one in psychological research, but it is also a well-known phenomenon in the field of sociology, where it was first discovered and defined by sociologist Robert Merton.

Read the latest articles of Journal of International Economics atElsevier’s leading platform of peer-reviewed scholarly literature. A self-defeating prophecy is the complementary opposite of a self-fulfilling prophecy: a prediction that prevents what it predicts from is also known as the "prophet's dilemma".

A self-defeating prophecy can be the result of rebellion to the prediction. If the audience of a prediction has an interest in seeing it falsified, and its fulfillment depends on their actions or. Doomsday cult is an expression used to describe cults that believe in apocalypticism and millenarianism and can refer both to groups that predict disaster and those that attempt to bring it about to destroy the entirety of the universe.

The expression was first used by sociologist John Lofland in his study of a group of members of the Unification Church of the United.

A self-fulfilling prophecy is the sociopsychological phenomenon of someone "predicting" or expecting something, and this "prediction" or expectation coming true simply because the person believes it will, and the person's resulting behaviors aligning to fulfill the belief. This suggests that people's beliefs influence their actions.

The principle behind this phenomenon is that people. Psychological theory proposes that people can construct reality through a self-fulfilling prophecy (Jones, ).A self-fulfilling prophecy occurs when people cause their initially inaccurate perceptions to become true (Merton, ).Numerous investigations have examined the self-fulfilling prophecy process using either experimental or naturalistic research methods Cited by: 1.

A self-fulfilling prophecy occurs when you make a prediction or formulate a belief that comes true because you made the prediction and acted on it as if it were true. Before reading further, let’s have a look at this scenario (I predicted that learning using pictures are way more effective, therefore I make it happen).Self-Fulfilling Risk Panics Philippe Bacchetta, Cédric Tille, Eric van Wincoop.

NBER Working Paper No. Issued in July NBER Program(s):Asset Pricing, Economic Fluctuations and Growth, International Finance and Macroeconomics Recent crises have seen very large spikes in asset price risk without dramatic shifts in fundamentals.